How Carry Trades Work
A carry trade earns interest by borrowing a low-interest-rate currency and buying a high-interest-rate currency. Every day you hold the position, your broker credits (or debits) a swap payment based on the interest rate differential between the two currencies. This is separate from any profit or loss from price movement — it's pure yield.
Daily Swap = Position Size × (Base Rate% − Quote Rate%) ÷ 365For a long position, you earn the base currency's interest rate and pay the quote currency's rate. If the base rate is higher than the quote rate, you earn positive carry. For a short, the opposite — you earn the quote rate and pay the base rate. The daily swap amount is credited to your account each rollover (typically 5 PM EST).
Annual Return = (Annual Swap ÷ Margin Required) × 100Because forex is leveraged, the annual return on margin can be significant — a 3% interest differential on a 30:1 leveraged position becomes a ~30% annual return on the margin locked. This is why carry trades are popular among long-term forex traders. Use the position size calculator to determine the right lot size for your account.
Best Carry Trade Pairs
| Pair | Base Rate | Quote Rate | Spread | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 4.50% | 0.50% | +4.00% | Long |
| AUD/JPY | 4.10% | 0.50% | +3.60% | Long |
| NZD/JPY | 5.50% | 0.50% | +5.00% | Long |
| USD/MXN | 4.50% | 9.50% | -5.00% | Short |
| EUR/USD | 2.50% | 4.50% | -2.00% | Short |
| GBP/JPY | 4.50% | 0.50% | +4.00% | Long |
| USD/TRY | 4.50% | 42.50% | -38.00% | Short |
| USD/ZAR | 4.50% | 7.75% | -3.25% | Short |
Risks of Carry Trading
Carry trades are not risk-free. The biggest risk is exchange rate movement — a pair can move 1-2% in a single session, wiping out months of accumulated carry. Central bank rate changes can shrink or reverse the interest differential overnight. And during market turmoil, carry trades tend to unwind violently as traders flee to safe-haven currencies. Monitor volatility levels — high ATR pairs may erase your carry gains faster than you earn them.